TE24 International Desk:
The underlying changes in international affairs are likely to pose a further threat to the Thai economy a year from now, the head of the state planning unit warned.
Danucha Pichayanan, secretary-general of the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC), says Ukraine’s continued conflict is becoming more confusing and amusing, possibly leading to a greater geopolitical risk in 2023.
“Several variables are driving this raised gamble, starting with the underlying changes in the international climate that include a more cathartic global demand, increasing financial inequality and political fragmentation in general,” Mr Danucha said.
He said international relations would cause a disruption to the inventory network, which would certainly affect the Thai assembly. Thai business dreamers need to plan for better governance of the store network, Mr. Danucha said.
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“Thailand should not be involved in the conflict,” he said. “It should use better political administration to adapt to the demands of the new world to endure financially and strategically. Strong opposition will lead to higher expansion this year and next.”
However, Mr Danucha is concerned about the country’s economy growing by 3% this year and 3.7% in 2023, driven by shipping, reviving personal use and the travel industry.
“Whatever the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on the global economy, sending significantly for food, remain an important driver of Thailand’s economic development,” he said.
“The revival of the travel industry will similarly play a significant part in supporting the development, as the number of unfamiliar guests is projected to reach 7-10 million this year.”
As pointed out by Mr. Danucha, the economies of a few countries may see 5-7% growth in their fast-recovering counterfeits this year, unlike in Thailand where the travel industry, which represented 17-20% of GDP before the epidemic. , Still watching a slow recovery.
Expansion, energy costs, global financial stagnation, and continued tensions between Russia and Ukraine prompted the NESDC on May 17 to reduce its economic growth for the year to 2.5-3.5%, lower than the previous estimate of 3.5. 4.5% in February. Depending on the projection, the cost of crude oil in Dubai is US $ 95-105 per barrel, which is much higher than the previous estimate of $ 72-82 per barrel. Another factor was China’s financial stagnation.
For 2022, according to NESDC, Thailand’s first aid variables will work on domestic interest, the revival of the domestic travel industry and the continued development of products.
Commodity prices in US dollars are expected to rise 7.3% this year, up from 4.9% in the previous year, while imports are expected to grow 10.9%, higher than the previous estimate of 5.9%.
Title expansion is expected to be in the range of 4.2-5.2%, which is 1.5-2.5% higher than past estimates.